Aparecidense vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
AAC
0 - 1
APA
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
APA
2 - 1
YPI
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
YPI
3 - 1
APA
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 2
APA
72%
19%
9%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 2
APA
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
CEI
5 - 0
COM
42%
27%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CEI
0 - 1
LUZ
38%
29%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LUZ
2 - 0
CEI
42%
28%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 1
CEI
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
CEI
1 - 0
BRA
37%
28%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |