Anzio vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
71.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GEL
2 - 2
ANZ
83%
13%
4%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ANZ
1 - 2
TRA
15%
20%
65%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ANZ
3 - 5
TCA
20%
20%
60%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
AST
8 - 0
ANZ
84%
12%
4%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ANZ
1 - 3
BUD
9%
19%
72%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NAR
0 - 2
POL
78%
15%
8%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SSM
2 - 2
NAR
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 0
NAR
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FON
2 - 1
NAR
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
NAR
0 - 1
SSM
56%
26%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |