Antigua and Barbuda vs Saint Kitts and Nevis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
53%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
ATG
1 - 3
BRB
20%
23%
57%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
ATG
5 - 3
AIA
93%
6%
1%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
ATG
1 - 0
DMA
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
ATG
1 - 0
VCT
27%
22%
51%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
GUY
4 - 1
ATG
48%
22%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Saint Kitts and Nevis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
AIA
1 - 6
KNA
1%
10%
89%
|
52 | 7 | 45 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
BRB
1 - 1
KNA
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
KNA
0 - 2
HTI
10%
18%
72%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
HTI
1 - 0
KNA
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
MEX
8 - 0
KNA
95%
4%
1%
|
53 | 92 | 39 | 0 |