Antigua GFC vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
4º
8º
4º
4
9º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 27 |
1º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 26 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 25 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
|
4º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 25 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 22 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 21 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 16 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 15 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 13 |
12º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
52.5% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
47.5% | 94.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ANT
3 - 0
ZAC
61%
22%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
XIN
2 - 0
ANT
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
COB
3 - 3
ANT
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
ANT
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 0
GUA
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 2
TOR
38%
26%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 1
MIX
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 0
TOR
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |