Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Anorthosis vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anorthosis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
AEK
0 - 1
ANO
23%
26%
51%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ANO
0 - 0
OMO
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
ANO
1 - 2
APO
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
APO
0 - 1
ANO
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
APO
1 - 1
ANO
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2011 |
GAG
1 - 0
FTK
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
GAG
2 - 1
CHI
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
DBA
1 - 1
GAG
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
IME
0 - 3
GAG
15%
24%
61%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
GUR
1 - 0
GAG
16%
23%
62%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |