Annapolis Blues vs FC Frederick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
15.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Annapolis Blues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ABL
5 - 0
GSU
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ABL
5 - 1
VIR
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
DMV
1 - 4
ABL
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ABL
4 - 1
FRE
53%
21%
27%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
VRD
4 - 2
ABL
17%
19%
64%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
FC Frederick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
VRD
3 - 0
FRE
47%
21%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 0
GLR
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
ALR
5 - 0
FRE
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ABL
4 - 1
FRE
53%
21%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
GSU
2 - 0
FRE
40%
22%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |