Ligue 1 round 16

Angers SCO vs Stade Brestois analysis

Angers SCO Stade Brestois
78 ELO 87
1.7% Tilt -3.9%
458º General ELO ranking 84º
18º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
25%
Angers SCO
24.5%
Draw
50.5%
Stade Brestois

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
Angers SCO
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.4%
Win probability
Stade Brestois
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Angers SCO
+18%
+5%
Stade Brestois

Points and table prediction

Angers SCO
Their league position
Stade Brestois
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
12º
18º
14º
28
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSG
50
83
99.5%
Olympique Marseille
40
67
54%
Monaco
37
64
36.5%
Lille
35
62
24%
Nice
34
55
24%
Lens
33
55
21.5%
Olympique Lyonnais
30
54
19%
Stade Brestois
28
47
25%
Strasbourg
27
46
30%
Toulouse
10º
26
44
10º
20%
Stade Rennais
15º
20
42
11º
18%
Auxerre
11º
23
38
12º
20.5%
Stade de Reims
13º
22
37
13º
15.5%
Angers SCO
12º
23
35
14º
17.5%
Nantes
14º
21
33
15º
20.5%
Montpellier
17º
15
30
16º
20%
Saint-Étienne
16º
18
30
17º
25.5%
Le Havre
18º
14
23
18º
73%
Expected probabilities
Angers SCO
Stade Brestois
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0.5%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 1%
Europa League
0% 2%
Conference League knock out round
0% 6%
Mid-table
70% 90.5%
Relegation play-offs
17.5% 0%
Relegation
12.5% 0%

ELO progression

Angers SCO
Stade Brestois
Auxerre
Stade de Reims
Olympique Marseille
Nantes
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Angers SCO
Angers SCO
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Dec. 2024
BOB
Bobigny
0 - 1
Angers SCO
ANG
15%
21%
64%
77 58 19 0
15 Dec. 2024
REN
Stade Rennais
2 - 0
Angers SCO
ANG
75%
16%
9%
77 89 12 0
07 Dec. 2024
ANG
Angers SCO
0 - 3
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
17%
21%
63%
77 90 13 0
01 Dec. 2024
LHA
Le Havre
0 - 1
Angers SCO
ANG
43%
27%
30%
76 79 3 +1
24 Nov. 2024
AUX
Auxerre
1 - 0
Angers SCO
ANG
60%
22%
18%
77 83 6 -1

Matches

Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 2024
LRO
La Roche Vendée
0 - 1
Stade Brestois
BRE
5%
15%
80%
87 49 38 0
15 Dec. 2024
BRE
Stade Brestois
4 - 1
Nantes
NAN
61%
23%
16%
87 80 7 0
10 Dec. 2024
BRE
Stade Brestois
1 - 0
PSV
PSV
28%
23%
49%
86 89 3 +1
06 Dec. 2024
LIL
Lille
3 - 1
Stade Brestois
BRE
67%
20%
14%
86 93 7 0
30 Nov. 2024
BRE
Stade Brestois
3 - 1
Strasbourg
STR
46%
25%
29%
86 84 2 0