Andrea Doria vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
12.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Andrea Doria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
AND
1 - 1
BRE
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
BOL
1 - 0
AND
75%
14%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
AND
0 - 0
SAM
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
INT
2 - 0
AND
59%
19%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
ACD
2 - 2
AND
29%
23%
49%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
MOD
1 - 1
GEN
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
JUV
1 - 0
MOD
80%
12%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
BRE
1 - 0
MOD
46%
24%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
BOL
2 - 2
MOD
80%
12%
8%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
MOD
0 - 4
BOL
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |