Ancona vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
44.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 2
ANC
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
EMP
2 - 0
ANC
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
ANC
2 - 1
TAR
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
TAR
0 - 0
ANC
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ANC
3 - 2
TAR
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
ASC
1 - 0
VIC
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
ASC
1 - 0
BAR
68%
19%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
ASC
3 - 1
PRG
73%
17%
11%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
ASC
3 - 1
TRI
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
MOD
2 - 1
ASC
33%
29%
39%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |