Ancona vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
COS
0 - 1
ANC
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
ANC
2 - 1
COM
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
ATL
0 - 0
ANC
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
ANC
1 - 3
UDI
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
ACI
1 - 1
ANC
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
ASC
0 - 2
SAL
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
PIA
4 - 0
ASC
73%
18%
10%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1995 |
ASC
0 - 0
CHI
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1995 |
CES
1 - 0
ASC
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
ASC
1 - 0
PAL
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |