Anápolis vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anápolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ANA
1 - 0
GRE
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 0
ANA
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ANA
0 - 1
SAN
61%
21%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
ANA
42%
24%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
ANA
2 - 2
IPO
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CEI
2 - 4
APA
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
APA
1 - 2
CRA
45%
24%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SOB
3 - 3
APA
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
APA
1 - 0
CEN
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CEN
4 - 1
APA
53%
23%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |