Ammanford AFC vs Goytre United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
13º
11º
32
5º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ammanford AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
LID
2 - 1
AAF
69%
17%
15%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
AAF
87%
9%
4%
|
31 | 61 | 30 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CWM
1 - 0
AAF
47%
22%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
AAF
2 - 1
ABE
51%
20%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
CAM
3 - 1
AAF
78%
14%
7%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Goytre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
5 - 0
GOY
83%
13%
5%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
LLA
2 - 0
GOY
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
GOY
1 - 3
CWM
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
GOY
2 - 3
CAR
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
3 - 1
GOY
26%
21%
53%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -2 |