Amiens SC vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
53.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
15º
15º
34
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
34 | 65 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 60 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 59 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 54 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 52 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 47 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 46 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 46 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 45 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 44 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 43 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 42 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 35 |
16º
|
38% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 28 |
17º
|
48% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 25 |
18º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 72% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 23.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amiens SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 0
AMI
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AMI
3 - 0
RED
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AMI
1 - 1
MET
25%
25%
51%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AMI
0 - 0
QUE
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
5 - 1
AMI
36%
25%
39%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 0
GRE
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 1
LOR
26%
26%
49%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 1
LOR
33%
25%
43%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 1
LOR
42%
25%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
ANG
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |