Amiens SC vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
53.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
12º
11º
9
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
9 | 67 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 63 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 56 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 55 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 53 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 52 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 49 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 48 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 47 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 44 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 40 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 38 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 38 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 36 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 36 |
17º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 36 |
18º
|
20% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 63.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12.5% | 26% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amiens SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 0
AMI
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AMI
3 - 0
RED
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AMI
1 - 1
MET
25%
25%
51%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AMI
0 - 0
QUE
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
5 - 1
AMI
36%
25%
39%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 0
GRE
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 1
LOR
26%
26%
49%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 1
LOR
33%
25%
43%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 1
LOR
42%
25%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
ANG
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |