Amiens SC vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amiens SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
AMI
2 - 3
NIO
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
IST
1 - 0
AMI
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
AMI
3 - 0
PLA
78%
16%
6%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
AMI
1 - 0
FCG
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2004 |
ANG
1 - 2
AMI
37%
30%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
CAE
1 - 2
STL
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 1
CAE
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
CAE
1 - 0
CAN
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
CAE
2 - 1
IST
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
CLE
2 - 2
CAE
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |