Carioca A2 1ra Fase round 9

Americano vs Serrano FC analysis

Americano Serrano FC
46 ELO 42
-17.4% Tilt -14.9%
4777º General ELO ranking 5870º
165º Country ELO ranking 237º
ELO win probability
53.5%
Americano
24.7%
Draw
21.8%
Serrano FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
Americano
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.8%
Win probability
Serrano FC
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Americano
-30%
-18%
Serrano FC

ELO progression

Americano
Serrano FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Americano
Americano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jul. 2024
AFC
Artsul FC
1 - 1
Americano
AME
27%
26%
48%
47 39 8 0
29 Jun. 2024
AME
Americano
1 - 0
Cabofriense
CAB
51%
24%
25%
47 41 6 0
23 Jun. 2024
PET
Petrópolis
1 - 1
Americano
AME
39%
27%
34%
46 47 1 +1
15 Jun. 2024
AME
Americano
0 - 1
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
50%
26%
25%
47 45 2 -1
08 Jun. 2024
AME
Americano
1 - 2
Olaria
OLA
41%
26%
34%
48 48 0 -1

Matches

Serrano FC
Serrano FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jul. 2024
SFC
Serrano FC
1 - 2
Olaria
OLA
20%
24%
56%
42 50 8 0
03 Jul. 2024
AUD
Audax Rio
2 - 1
Serrano FC
SFC
50%
25%
24%
43 46 3 -1
22 Jun. 2024
SFC
Serrano FC
1 - 1
Maricá
CMA
33%
26%
41%
43 46 3 0
15 Jun. 2024
RES
Resende
1 - 1
Serrano FC
SFC
50%
25%
25%
42 45 3 +1
08 Jun. 2024
SFC
Serrano FC
2 - 2
América RJ
AME
26%
27%
47%
42 48 6 0