Carioca Série B1 Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Americano vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
CER
0 - 3
AME
46%
27%
28%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
AME
1 - 2
POR
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 1
AME
46%
26%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
AME
2 - 2
GOY
37%
27%
35%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
PET
1 - 1
AME
46%
25%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 3
DUQ
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
DUQ
3 - 0
GRE
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 1
DUQ
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
DUQ
2 - 1
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
OLA
1 - 2
DUQ
46%
28%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |