Liga MX Finals Ap. Semi-finals
Global 4-3
América vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 2
AME
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
AME
2 - 0
TOL
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
TIJ
2 - 2
AME
35%
25%
40%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TOL
4 - 0
AME
53%
23%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
AME
2 - 1
PAC
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TIJ
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
TIJ
3 - 0
CAZ
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TIG
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
ATS
2 - 2
CAZ
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |