América Sub 16 vs Toluca Sub 16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Sub 16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CZA
0 - 1
AME
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AME
2 - 0
JUA
73%
15%
12%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
AME
5 - 0
PUE
78%
13%
9%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
PUN
0 - 2
AME
27%
21%
52%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NEX
2 - 3
AME
59%
20%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Toluca Sub 16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
DTO
0 - 1
QUE
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 0
DTO
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
DTO
0 - 5
CZA
55%
20%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DTO
0 - 0
PUN
58%
19%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
JUA
0 - 0
DTO
34%
22%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |