Liga MX Sub 16 - Apertura round 15

América U16 vs Toluca U16 analysis

América U16 Toluca U16
37 ELO 43
-3.2% Tilt -1.9%
5618º General ELO ranking 8755º
99º Country ELO ranking 154º
ELO win probability
35.8%
América U16
24.6%
Draw
39.6%
Toluca U16

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
América U16
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.6%
Win probability
Toluca U16
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
América U16
+73%
-7%
Toluca U16

ELO progression

América U16
Toluca U16
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

América U16
América U16
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2022
QUE
 Querétaro U16
1 - 1
América U16
AME
19%
20%
62%
39 26 13 0
17 Sep. 2022
AME
América U16
3 - 2
Cruz Azul U16
CZA
47%
25%
28%
38 37 1 +1
10 Sep. 2022
PUE
Puebla U16
1 - 3
América U16
AME
27%
21%
51%
37 28 9 +1
31 Aug. 2022
JUA
 FC Juárez U16
1 - 0
América U16
AME
19%
20%
61%
39 26 13 -2
27 Aug. 2022
AME
América U16
1 - 1
 FC Juárez U16
JUA
74%
15%
11%
39 26 13 0

Matches

Toluca U16
Toluca U16
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2022
DTO
Toluca U16
3 - 0
 FC Juárez U16
JUA
75%
15%
10%
41 31 10 0
17 Sep. 2022
PAC
 Pachuca U16
1 - 2
Toluca U16
DTO
28%
24%
48%
41 34 7 0
10 Sep. 2022
DTO
Toluca U16
2 - 1
Pumas UNAM U16
PUN
55%
22%
23%
40 40 0 +1
07 Sep. 2022
QUE
 Querétaro U16
1 - 3
Toluca U16
DTO
19%
19%
62%
39 28 11 +1
03 Sep. 2022
NEX
 Necaxa U16
3 - 2
Toluca U16
DTO
64%
20%
16%
40 46 6 -1