América SE vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
71.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
AME
22%
20%
58%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
AME
0 - 1
FFC
37%
23%
41%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
LAG
4 - 1
AME
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
AME
0 - 4
CON
8%
16%
75%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
BOC
1 - 1
AME
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CON
0 - 0
FER
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
CON
1 - 0
SOU
72%
18%
9%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
UNI
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 0
CON
29%
31%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
ALT
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |