América RN vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
ARN
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 0
ARN
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 3
ATL
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 0
NAU
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 2
ABC
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
AVA
1 - 1
CEA
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 2
CEA
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 1
PAR
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
CEA
4 - 1
PAR
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 2
NAU
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |