América RJ vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1979 |
AME
1 - 3
ATP
63%
22%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
SPO
0 - 2
AME
36%
30%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1979 |
SAN
1 - 0
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
SCI
1 - 1
AME
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
AME
1 - 0
FFL
68%
18%
14%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1979 |
COT
2 - 0
SPO
53%
27%
21%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
COT
1 - 0
FFL
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
COT
1 - 1
RIO
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
OPE
2 - 0
COT
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
COT
0 - 3
SCI
36%
30%
34%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |