Carioca 1 Segunda Fase round 3

América RJ vs Bangu analysis

América RJ Bangu
49 ELO 58
17.1% Tilt -0.5%
4825º General ELO ranking 5157º
167º Country ELO ranking 193º
ELO win probability
41%
América RJ
24.1%
Draw
34.9%
Bangu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
América RJ
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.9%
Win probability
Bangu
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
América RJ
+10%
-1%
Bangu

ELO progression

América RJ
Bangu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

América RJ
América RJ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2011
FLU
Fluminense
3 - 1
América RJ
AME
86%
11%
3%
50 84 34 0
03 Mar. 2011
AME
América RJ
2 - 0
Cabofriense
CAB
56%
21%
23%
49 47 2 +1
12 Feb. 2011
AME
América RJ
0 - 9
Vasco da Gama
VAS
17%
23%
60%
50 79 29 -1
06 Feb. 2011
VOL
Volta Redonda
2 - 0
América RJ
AME
39%
25%
36%
51 49 2 -1
02 Feb. 2011
AME
América RJ
3 - 1
Americano
AME
57%
22%
22%
50 48 2 +1

Matches

Bangu
Bangu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2011
BAN
Bangu
1 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
12%
22%
66%
57 82 25 0
03 Mar. 2011
BOA
Boavista SC
3 - 1
Bangu
BAN
52%
23%
25%
58 58 0 -1
24 Feb. 2011
POR
Portuguesa
1 - 0
Bangu
BAN
65%
20%
15%
59 69 10 -1
16 Feb. 2011
BAN
Bangu
3 - 1
Portuguesa
POR
21%
24%
55%
57 71 14 +2
13 Feb. 2011
OLA
Olaria
1 - 0
Bangu
BAN
30%
26%
44%
58 51 7 -1