Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 1-5
América de Cali vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
41%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
CCP
1 - 0
AME
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
AME
3 - 1
DEP
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
AME
1 - 3
ATM
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 0
AME
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MIL
0 - 0
AME
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
ATP
2 - 2
BRA
46%
26%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
ATP
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ATP
2 - 1
FOR
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 4
ATP
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
ATP
2 - 2
CHA
63%
23%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |