Amarante vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 0
AMA
29%
27%
44%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
PED
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
AMA
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
AMA
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
COI
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TIR
2 - 0
CIN
38%
28%
34%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 0
VIL
32%
26%
43%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
COI
1 - 2
TIR
51%
24%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
CIN
3 - 2
TIR
54%
26%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 1
SOB
54%
23%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |