1ª Regional Extremadura Fase Ascenso Grupo D round 3

Amanecer vs Guadiana analysis

Amanecer Guadiana
15 ELO 13
-6.4% Tilt -3.9%
14426º General ELO ranking 14297º
1654º Country ELO ranking 1575º
ELO win probability
60.1%
Amanecer
21.1%
Draw
18.7%
Guadiana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
Amanecer
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.8%
Win probability
Guadiana
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Amanecer
-3%
-1%
Guadiana

ELO progression

Amanecer
Guadiana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Amanecer
Amanecer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2021
USA
Usagre
1 - 2
Amanecer
AMA
31%
24%
45%
15 12 3 0
25 Apr. 2021
MOR
Moraleja
3 - 1
Amanecer
AMA
25%
23%
52%
16 12 4 -1
18 Apr. 2021
CRS
CF Caceres
1 - 4
Amanecer
AMA
10%
16%
75%
16 7 9 0
11 Apr. 2021
CFJ
CF Jaraíz
2 - 2
Amanecer
AMA
41%
24%
35%
16 15 1 0
04 Apr. 2021
AMA
Amanecer
2 - 0
Talayuela
TAL
64%
20%
17%
15 12 3 +1

Matches

Guadiana
Guadiana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2021
GUA
Guadiana
1 - 0
Usagre
USA
58%
22%
21%
12 11 1 0
02 May. 2021
SNV
Sanvicenteño
1 - 1
Guadiana
GUA
54%
22%
24%
12 13 1 0
25 Apr. 2021
GUA
Guadiana
2 - 0
AD Valdefuentes
ADV
44%
23%
33%
11 12 1 +1
18 Apr. 2021
CDC
Calamonte UD
1 - 2
Guadiana
GUA
25%
22%
53%
11 6 5 0
11 Apr. 2021
GUA
Guadiana
2 - 0
CD San Serván
CDS
65%
20%
15%
10 8 2 +1