AlzanoCene vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlzanoCene
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 Nov. 2010 |
VIR
0 - 1
ALZ
36%
26%
39%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
14 Nov. 2010 |
ALZ
2 - 1
FOL
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
07 Nov. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 2
ALZ
75%
17%
8%
|
32 | 64 | 32 | +1 |
31 Oct. 2010 |
ALZ
1 - 0
TRE
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
24 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 3
ALZ
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Villafranca
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 Nov. 2010 |
VIL
4 - 4
COL
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
14 Nov. 2010 |
SAC
1 - 1
VIL
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
07 Nov. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 1
GCS
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
31 Oct. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 3
VIL
46%
25%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
24 Oct. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 0
VOG
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |