Alzano Virescit vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
VAR
1 - 0
ALV
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
ASS
1 - 1
ALV
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
ALV
4 - 2
REG
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
SPE
2 - 1
ALV
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
ALV
1 - 1
TRI
20%
26%
54%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASL
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
TRI
1 - 1
LEC
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
CES
1 - 1
LEC
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 0
SPA
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
ABN
2 - 2
LEC
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |