Copa Argentina 1/512
Global 2-4
Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
42.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ALV
0 - 0
DEP
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
DFR
3 - 1
ALV
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
AGR
3 - 2
ALV
39%
30%
31%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CGB
1 - 1
ALV
33%
29%
38%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
ALV
0 - 0
DFR
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 0
DFR
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
DFR
3 - 1
ALV
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DFR
1 - 3
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
DFR
0 - 0
FER
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
ALV
0 - 0
DFR
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |