Aluvión vs CF Beti Casedano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
45.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
FON
2 - 1
ALU
24%
23%
53%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ALU
1 - 3
RIV
18%
20%
62%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
ERR
3 - 1
ALU
74%
16%
10%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LAG
2 - 2
ALU
72%
17%
11%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ALU
1 - 0
MEN
21%
22%
57%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CF Beti Casedano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
CFB
1 - 2
LAG
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
LOU
4 - 0
CFB
42%
24%
35%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CFB
2 - 1
CDA
22%
22%
56%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
BID
1 - 1
CFB
66%
20%
14%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
INF
3 - 2
CFB
47%
22%
31%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |