Altrincham vs Histon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
VAU
1 - 2
ALT
25%
23%
53%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ALT
3 - 0
STO
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 1
BAR
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 3
ALT
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 0
ALT
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
HIS
2 - 0
GAI
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SOL
0 - 0
HIS
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 0
HIS
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
HIS
3 - 1
COL
50%
24%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 0
HIS
61%
22%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |