FA Trophy 1/32
Global 3-4
Altrincham vs Farsley Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
FAR
2 - 2
ALT
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 0
ALT
11%
18%
71%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
OPA
2 - 1
ALT
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
YOR
0 - 1
ALT
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
ALT
3 - 0
GAT
61%
21%
19%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Farsley Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
FAR
2 - 2
ALT
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 2
FAR
34%
24%
43%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
FAR
1 - 1
BRA
35%
25%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
FAR
22%
22%
56%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
WOR
0 - 1
FAR
20%
21%
59%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |