Altrincham vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ALT
1 - 1
GUL
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ALT
1 - 0
CHE
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GAT
2 - 2
ALT
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
ALT
2 - 2
KID
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ALD
2 - 0
ALT
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
COV
4 - 3
BAR
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SCU
2 - 0
BAR
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
FLE
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
WAL
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 1
BAR
38%
29%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |