Austrian Bundesliga Temporada Regular round 15

SCR Altach vs Sturm Graz analysis

SCR Altach Sturm Graz
76 ELO 80
-22.4% Tilt -8.2%
707º General ELO ranking 374º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
23.9%
SCR Altach
25.9%
Draw
50.2%
Sturm Graz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
SCR Altach
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.2%
Win probability
Sturm Graz
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SCR Altach
-14%
+16%
Sturm Graz

Points and table prediction

SCR Altach
Their league position
Sturm Graz
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
12º
12º
36
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sturm Graz
36
44
65.5%
Austria Wien
33
41
47.5%
Rapid Wien
28
36
22%
Wolfsberger AC
26
34
15.5%
Salzburg
23
34
21.5%
Blau-Weiß Linz
23
31
18.5%
TSV Hartberg
20
30
24.5%
LASK
20
28
27%
Austria Klagenfurt
10º
15
26
25.5%
WSG Tirol
16
23
10º
39%
Grazer AK
11º
12
20
11º
47.5%
SCR Altach
12º
10
15
12º
77.5%
Expected probabilities
SCR Altach
Sturm Graz
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

SCR Altach
Sturm Graz
Grazer AK
Wolfsberger AC
Austria Wien
Blau-Weiß Linz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SCR Altach
SCR Altach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 2024
WOL
Wolfsberger AC
2 - 0
SCR Altach
ALT
56%
24%
20%
76 80 4 0
14 Nov. 2024
ALT
SCR Altach
2 - 1
FC Wil
WIL
44%
25%
31%
76 67 9 0
10 Nov. 2024
ALT
SCR Altach
1 - 2
LASK
LAS
28%
28%
44%
77 80 3 -1
03 Nov. 2024
WAT
WSG Tirol
1 - 0
SCR Altach
ALT
45%
27%
29%
77 76 1 0
26 Oct. 2024
ALT
SCR Altach
2 - 2
Austria Klagenfurt
SKA
24%
26%
51%
76 80 4 +1

Matches

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2024
STR
Sturm Graz
1 - 0
Girona
GIR
21%
23%
56%
81 90 9 0
23 Nov. 2024
STR
Sturm Graz
7 - 0
Austria Klagenfurt
SKA
40%
25%
35%
80 80 0 +1
09 Nov. 2024
HAR
TSV Hartberg
1 - 2
Sturm Graz
STR
39%
26%
35%
80 80 0 0
05 Nov. 2024
BVB
B. Dortmund
1 - 0
Sturm Graz
STR
84%
11%
5%
80 96 16 0
02 Nov. 2024
STR
Sturm Graz
1 - 1
Rapid Wien
RAP
44%
25%
31%
80 80 0 0