Alqueidão Serra vs CD Torres Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
69.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
8%
1-3
8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alqueidão Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 1
ALQ
76%
14%
10%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 2
ALQ
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -3 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 0
PAT
71%
17%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GDA
5 - 1
ALQ
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LEM
1 - 1
ALQ
76%
16%
9%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Torres Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CDT
0 - 4
MAR
39%
22%
39%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 0
CDT
48%
21%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
UCH
2 - 3
CDT
16%
20%
64%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | +5 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CDT
1 - 1
EMP
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PON
2 - 2
CDT
16%
20%
64%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |