Alpha United vs Santos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alpha United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
AUN
4 - 0
YOA
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SIS
1 - 4
AUN
46%
23%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
ROU
1 - 7
AUN
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
AUN
9 - 0
BVT
59%
21%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MHD
0 - 2
AUN
47%
23%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
SIS
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
BUX
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
WIC
48%
22%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
MHD
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
YOA
1 - 2
SAN
50%
23%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |