Almirante Brown vs Ben Hur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
IRV
1 - 2
ALM
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
ALM
4 - 0
TAL
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
ALD
1 - 0
ALM
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
ALM
2 - 0
ALM
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
PLA
0 - 1
ALM
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ben Hur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
BHU
0 - 0
DYJ
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 0
BHU
76%
18%
7%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
BHU
0 - 1
SMA
25%
27%
47%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 1
BHU
74%
18%
8%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
BHU
0 - 1
INS
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |