LaLiga round 23

Almería vs Real Valladolid analysis

Almería Real Valladolid
83 ELO 85
-3% Tilt 3.8%
436º General ELO ranking 266º
28º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
35.6%
Almería
25.8%
Draw
38.7%
Real Valladolid

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
Almería
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.7%
Win probability
Real Valladolid
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Almería
+2%
-6%
Real Valladolid

ELO progression

Almería
Real Valladolid
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Almería
Almería
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2009
MAL
Málaga
3 - 2
Almería
ALM
47%
25%
28%
83 83 0 0
01 Feb. 2009
VCF
Valencia
3 - 2
Almería
ALM
71%
18%
12%
83 90 7 0
25 Jan. 2009
ALM
Almería
2 - 1
Athletic
ATH
35%
27%
38%
83 86 3 0
18 Jan. 2009
ALM
Almería
1 - 1
Atlético
ATM
27%
27%
46%
83 90 7 0
14 Jan. 2009
ALM
Almería
1 - 1
Mallorca
MLL
36%
27%
37%
83 87 4 0

Matches

Real Valladolid
Real Valladolid
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2009
VAD
Real Valladolid
2 - 1
Athletic
ATH
40%
27%
33%
85 86 1 0
01 Feb. 2009
ATM
Atlético
1 - 2
Real Valladolid
VAD
61%
21%
18%
85 90 5 0
25 Jan. 2009
VAD
Real Valladolid
1 - 1
Espanyol
ESP
45%
27%
29%
85 85 0 0
18 Jan. 2009
VAD
Real Valladolid
1 - 3
Real Betis
BET
44%
27%
29%
85 86 1 0
14 Jan. 2009
VAD
Real Valladolid
2 - 1
Real Sporting
SPO
55%
25%
19%
85 81 4 0