LaLiga round 38

Almería vs Valencia analysis

Almería Valencia
80 ELO 91
4.4% Tilt 4.5%
438º General ELO ranking 96º
27º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
20.5%
Almería
25.6%
Draw
53.9%
Valencia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
Almería
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
53.9%
Win probability
Valencia
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Almería
-2%
-7%
Valencia

ELO progression

Almería
Valencia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Almería
Almería
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2015
SEV
Sevilla
2 - 1
Almería
ALM
75%
16%
9%
81 90 9 0
10 May. 2015
ALM
Almería
1 - 2
Málaga
MAL
39%
27%
35%
81 85 4 0
04 May. 2015
ALM
Almería
2 - 2
Celta
CEL
38%
27%
35%
81 85 4 0
29 Apr. 2015
RMA
Real Madrid
3 - 0
Almería
ALM
92%
6%
2%
81 96 15 0
26 Apr. 2015
ALM
Almería
2 - 0
Eibar
EIB
59%
24%
17%
81 78 3 0

Matches

Valencia
Valencia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2015
VCF
Valencia
1 - 1
Celta
CEL
74%
17%
9%
91 86 5 0
09 May. 2015
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 2
Valencia
VCF
81%
13%
7%
91 96 5 0
03 May. 2015
VCF
Valencia
3 - 1
Eibar
EIB
85%
11%
4%
91 77 14 0
30 Apr. 2015
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Valencia
VCF
30%
26%
44%
91 84 7 0
27 Apr. 2015
VCF
Valencia
4 - 0
Granada
GRA
80%
14%
7%
91 80 11 0