Almería vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
ELC
0 - 0
ALM
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
ALM
2 - 1
RCF
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
POL
0 - 1
ALM
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
ALM
5 - 1
LEV
32%
27%
42%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 1
ALM
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
MUR
1 - 1
RMC
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
MAL
2 - 0
MUR
33%
29%
38%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
MUR
0 - 2
REC
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
GIM
3 - 1
MUR
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
MUR
2 - 0
ALB
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |