Almagro vs Tigre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
PLA
4 - 3
ALM
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
ALM
2 - 2
QUI
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1968 |
FER
0 - 1
ALM
59%
22%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1968 |
MOR
2 - 1
ALM
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1968 |
ALM
0 - 2
CHI
57%
22%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tigre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
TIG
3 - 1
CHI
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
CAU
2 - 1
TIG
64%
20%
15%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1968 |
TIG
0 - 2
ATL
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1968 |
GLP
1 - 0
TIG
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1968 |
TIG
1 - 2
MOR
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |