Alloa Athletic vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
FAL
0 - 0
ALL
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ALL
0 - 1
DUN
44%
26%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ALL
2 - 0
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
HAM
0 - 1
ALL
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
DUM
1 - 1
ALL
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
CWB
0 - 2
QOS
26%
25%
50%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
RAI
3 - 3
CWB
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 2
CWB
72%
19%
10%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CWB
2 - 3
LIV
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
FAL
4 - 0
CWB
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |