Alianza vs Isidro Metapán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
2º
2º
26
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 24 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 87% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 13% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FIR
1 - 1
ALI
17%
24%
59%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 0
ONC
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 1
ATL
77%
16%
8%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 0
ALI
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
ALI
15%
23%
62%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Isidro Metapán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MET
0 - 0
CDD
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MET
0 - 0
ATL
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
CDP
3 - 3
MET
44%
28%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MET
3 - 0
JOC
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ONC
2 - 0
MET
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |