Alianza vs CD Águila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
7º
5º
44
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MUN
0 - 2
ALI
24%
26%
50%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
CDP
0 - 2
ALI
19%
25%
56%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
ONC
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 2
CDD
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 0
ALI
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 0
JOC
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
FUE
0 - 1
AGU
17%
25%
58%
|
70 | 20 | 50 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MET
2 - 0
AGU
33%
28%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 0
MUN
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ONC
1 - 2
AGU
28%
28%
43%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |