Alianza vs UES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 1
ATL
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CDD
4 - 0
ALI
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 0
JUV
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FAS
2 - 0
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 2
FIR
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 3
UES
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
UES
2 - 3
SAN
34%
25%
40%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
MET
1 - 2
UES
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
UES
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
UES
0 - 3
CDD
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |