Alianza Universidad vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 2
AUN
18%
23%
60%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
AUN
2 - 2
SAM
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
PIR
1 - 2
AUN
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
AUN
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
AUN
1 - 0
COM
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
AYA
0 - 2
SRP
24%
25%
52%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
COM
3 - 1
AYA
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
AYA
0 - 0
LOS
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
AYA
1 - 3
LLA
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
SFC
4 - 1
AYA
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |