Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 2-2
Alianza FC vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 1
ALI
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 1
ALI
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 0
PAS
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
PAS
0 - 0
ALI
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
TOL
3 - 1
ONC
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
TOL
34%
28%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 1
HUI
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
TOL
3 - 1
APC
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
SAO
5 - 0
TOL
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |