Copa Colombia Grupo C round 10

Alianza FC vs Cúcuta Deportivo analysis

Alianza FC Cúcuta Deportivo
69 ELO 67
-6.7% Tilt 8%
595º General ELO ranking 575º
20º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
44.7%
Alianza FC
25.8%
Draw
29.6%
Cúcuta Deportivo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
Alianza FC
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.5%
Win probability
Cúcuta Deportivo
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alianza FC
-10%
-10%
Cúcuta Deportivo

ELO progression

Alianza FC
Cúcuta Deportivo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alianza FC
Alianza FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2013
ALI
Alianza FC
1 - 0
Atlético Huila
HUI
46%
27%
27%
67 66 1 0
22 May. 2013
CHI
Boyacá Chicó
3 - 1
Alianza FC
ALI
52%
24%
24%
68 72 4 -1
19 May. 2013
TOL
Deportes Tolima
2 - 1
Alianza FC
ALI
66%
20%
14%
68 79 11 0
15 May. 2013
ALI
Alianza FC
1 - 0
Patriotas Boyacá
PAT
53%
25%
23%
68 65 3 0
12 May. 2013
ALI
Alianza FC
2 - 3
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
47%
27%
26%
68 67 1 0

Matches

Cúcuta Deportivo
Cúcuta Deportivo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2013
SFE
Santa Fe
3 - 2
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
68%
20%
12%
68 80 12 0
22 May. 2013
CUC
Cúcuta Deportivo
2 - 1
Patriotas Boyacá
PAT
54%
25%
22%
68 64 4 0
18 May. 2013
CUC
Cúcuta Deportivo
1 - 1
Atlético Huila
HUI
47%
27%
27%
68 66 2 0
12 May. 2013
ALI
Alianza FC
2 - 3
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
47%
27%
26%
67 68 1 +1
08 May. 2013
REA
Real Santander
0 - 1
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
20%
25%
56%
67 49 18 0