Alianza FC vs Barranquilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
REA
1 - 1
ALI
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
ALI
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
BOG
36%
28%
37%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 0
CUC
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SFC
0 - 2
ALI
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 2
RSC
24%
28%
48%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 3
UNI
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 2
JUN
14%
23%
63%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
BAR
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |