Clausura Colombia round 14

Alianza FC vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis

Alianza FC Atlético Bucaramanga
63 ELO 67
1.4% Tilt -0.3%
599º General ELO ranking 405º
20º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
37%
Alianza FC
28%
Draw
35%
Atlético Bucaramanga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
Alianza FC
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
35%
Win probability
Atlético Bucaramanga
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alianza FC
-8%
+6%
Atlético Bucaramanga

ELO progression

Alianza FC
Atlético Bucaramanga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alianza FC
Alianza FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2021
AGU
Águilas Doradas
1 - 0
Alianza FC
ALI
49%
26%
25%
63 67 4 0
04 Oct. 2021
ALI
Alianza FC
1 - 1
Jaguares FC
JAG
39%
27%
34%
63 66 3 0
25 Sep. 2021
ONC
Once Caldas
1 - 1
Alianza FC
ALI
52%
26%
23%
63 68 5 0
21 Sep. 2021
ALI
Alianza FC
3 - 0
Patriotas Boyacá
PAT
48%
26%
26%
62 62 0 +1
12 Sep. 2021
SFE
Santa Fe
1 - 1
Alianza FC
ALI
67%
22%
11%
62 79 17 0

Matches

Atlético Bucaramanga
Atlético Bucaramanga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2021
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
1 - 1
Junior
JUN
31%
27%
42%
68 79 11 0
04 Oct. 2021
IND
Independiente Medellín
1 - 0
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
61%
23%
16%
69 75 6 -1
26 Sep. 2021
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
2 - 1
América de Cali
AME
33%
27%
39%
68 74 6 +1
20 Sep. 2021
AGU
Águilas Doradas
3 - 0
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
41%
28%
30%
69 67 2 -1
12 Sep. 2021
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
3 - 4
Millonarios
MIL
26%
26%
48%
70 80 10 -1